• Droughts brought by El Niño is now diminishing but a possible onslaught of La Niña is expected according to PAGASA
  • La Niña is predicted to bring rains and typhoons in the 2nd half of 2016
  • PAGASA’s La Niña Watch is now in effect

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) warned the looming possibility of the rain-driving La Niña phenomenon as El Niño is continuously diminishing.

According to the state weather bureau’s bulletin, the current El Niño, which has caused drought in several parts of the world, continues to weaken in the tropical Pacific. They added that the country will have its neutral weather condition in the middle of the year or in June or July, as cited in an article published by The Manila Times.

Acting PAGASA Administrator Vicente Malano said the possibility of La Niña developing will occur during the 2nd half of 2016. PAGASA defines La Niña as an event characterized by a persistent cooler than average see surface temperatures over the tropical Pacific. In effect, more rains and typhoons are expected to hit countries such as the Philippines.

“With this current state, La Niña Watch is now in effect,” PAGASA said in a statement.

PAGASA’s forecast showed that for May to October, there are seven to 12 projected tropical cyclones that may enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility within the said time period.

According to an article published by GMA News, easterlies will weaken towards the end of May and the southwest monsoon would gradually start to flow. Afternoon or early evening thunderstorm could be observed to increase during the month.

However, PAGASA clarified that the warm and dry season has yet to end. In fact, 37 provinces are still expected to experience drought over the remaining days of May.

Malano said they will continue to closely monitor the dry spell and the developing La Niña.

The last La Niña event the country experienced was in 2012 that brought massive flooding all over the Philippines due to days of intense rains.